Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.004204 0.004422 0.004646 0.004894 0.005160 0.005439 0.005752
2025-09-07 0.003779 0.004097 0.004437 0.004829 0.005272 0.005757 0.006333
2025-09-14 0.003502 0.003871 0.004277 0.004761 0.005323 0.005962 0.006748
2025-09-21 0.003333 0.003743 0.004205 0.004768 0.005441 0.006228 0.007229
2025-09-28 0.003106 0.003530 0.004016 0.004619 0.005356 0.006237 0.007387
2025-10-05 0.002989 0.003437 0.003958 0.004616 0.005437 0.006442 0.007789
2025-10-12 0.002929 0.003405 0.003968 0.004692 0.005614 0.006769 0.008359
2025-10-19 0.002821 0.003309 0.003893 0.004656 0.005644 0.006906 0.008683
2025-10-26 0.002728 0.003226 0.003830 0.004630 0.005682 0.007051 0.009020
2025-11-02 0.002640 0.003146 0.003765 0.004596 0.005706 0.007174 0.009330
2025-11-09 0.002607 0.003133 0.003785 0.004671 0.005874 0.007497 0.009940
2025-11-16 0.002538 0.003069 0.003736 0.004652 0.005914 0.007643 0.010298
2025-11-23 0.002465 0.003001 0.003678 0.004621 0.005935 0.007765 0.010632
2025-11-30 0.002385 0.002920 0.003603 0.004561 0.005913 0.007824 0.010872
2025-12-07 0.002309 0.002842 0.003527 0.004497 0.005883 0.007867 0.011086
2025-12-14 0.002265 0.002804 0.003503 0.004504 0.005951 0.008057 0.011544
2025-12-21 0.002169 0.002694 0.003379 0.004367 0.005805 0.007917 0.011458
2025-12-28 0.002127 0.002656 0.003352 0.004364 0.005855 0.008076 0.011870
2026-01-04 0.002114 0.002656 0.003376 0.004434 0.006015 0.008412 0.012601
2026-01-11 0.002066 0.002607 0.003329 0.004401 0.006018 0.008500 0.012910
2026-01-18 0.002022 0.002563 0.003290 0.004377 0.006033 0.008607 0.013258
2026-01-25 0.001979 0.002518 0.003248 0.004345 0.006035 0.008692 0.013571
2026-02-01 0.001970 0.002521 0.003272 0.004414 0.006195 0.009043 0.014394